CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-07-17T07:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-07-17T07:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/32027/-1
CME Note: CME visible to the west in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2. Associated with an M5.0 flare seen in SDO AIA 131 from S10W30 (AR 13743) which had a peak time of 2024-07-17T06:39Z. Dimming is seen in SDO AIA 193, opening field lines are seen in SDO AIA 171, and post-eruptive brightening is seen in SDO AIA 131/193/304. Seen in SDO AIA imagery before a shutter maneuver/eclipse lasting from 17/07:07Z to 17/07:48Z. Seen also in GOES SUVI and STEREO A EUV imagery. No clear CME arrival signature in solar wind at L1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-07-20T11:50Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.66667
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -4113.10 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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